Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska

Mindo Choi, Vijay Panchang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

To enhance the safety of various marine operations in many coastal regions, ocean weather monitoring and prediction systems are playing an increasingly important role over the last couple of decades. To provide marine forecasts in Cook Inlet, Alaska, which has extremely complex geometry and the largest tidal fluctuations has in the U.S., a wave forecasting system is developed. High-resolution 36-hour forecasts of significant wave heights (SWHs) are provided daily. A comprehensive assessment of the forecasting system was performed by comparing the results with measurements from two satellites (JASON-2 and CRYOSAT-2) data for about 21 months. Scatter plots of observed data versus forecasts of SWHs and the probability of occurrence for groups of SWHs are presented as measures of wave forecast reliability. Correlation coefficients (R2) and indices of agreement (D) between predicted and measured SWHs were reasonable for the full duration of study.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationOCEANS 2017 � Anchorage
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-4
Number of pages4
Volume2017-January
ISBN (Electronic)9780692946909
Publication statusPublished - 19 Dec 2017
EventOCEANS 2017 - Anchorage - Anchorage, United States
Duration: 18 Sep 201721 Sep 2017

Other

OtherOCEANS 2017 - Anchorage
CountryUnited States
CityAnchorage
Period18/9/1721/9/17

Fingerprint

Cook Inlet (AK)
significant wave height
forecasting
safety
geometry
weather
correlation coefficients
forecast
oceans
ocean
prediction
plots
Satellites
occurrences
Geometry
Monitoring
high resolution

Keywords

  • Cook Inlet
  • Probability of occurrence
  • Wave forecast reliability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oceanography
  • Automotive Engineering
  • Water Science and Technology
  • Acoustics and Ultrasonics
  • Instrumentation
  • Ocean Engineering

Cite this

Choi, M., & Panchang, V. (2017). Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska. In OCEANS 2017 � Anchorage (Vol. 2017-January, pp. 1-4). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc..

Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska. / Choi, Mindo; Panchang, Vijay.

OCEANS 2017 � Anchorage. Vol. 2017-January Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. p. 1-4.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Choi, M & Panchang, V 2017, Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska. in OCEANS 2017 � Anchorage. vol. 2017-January, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 1-4, OCEANS 2017 - Anchorage, Anchorage, United States, 18/9/17.
Choi M, Panchang V. Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska. In OCEANS 2017 � Anchorage. Vol. 2017-January. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2017. p. 1-4
Choi, Mindo ; Panchang, Vijay. / Operational wave forecast reliability in Cook Inlet, Alaska. OCEANS 2017 � Anchorage. Vol. 2017-January Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. pp. 1-4
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